Day-to-Day Killings in the nation Fall Thirty-Seven Percent During Claudia Sheinbaum, As per Official Statistics

The mean count of per-day homicides monthly in the country has dropped by more than a third since Head of State Claudia Sheinbaum assumed power, per new official statistics. However, security experts have warned that murder figures may not signal better national stability.

Significant Reduction in Per-Day Figures

Officials reported an mean of almost 55 killings a day in last November compared with almost 87 when the President began the presidential office in September. This data was delivered by the head of the nation's federal public security agency, Marcela Figueroa Franco, during the president’s daily press briefing on Tuesday.

“The outcome in murders that we’ve had during these months is extremely significant,” Claudia Sheinbaum remarked, explaining that last month the smallest figure of homicides were registered for any November in the last decade.

Historical Context and Government Plan

Fierce drug cartel internal conflicts, alongside the government’s highly militarised efforts to combat the trafficking organizations, have made Mexico’s murder numbers soar in recent times. The rate hit a record high of 36,773 homicides in 2020, per the nation's official data agency.

That meant Mexico a murder rate over 4x higher than the US. Since then, killings have been on the decline, dropping to 33,550 the previous year. Sheinbaum has linked her national security plan for an ostensibly steeper drop in killings in the current year.

At a media briefing in August, the head of state declared: “There is a plan, there is monitoring of the plan, and we have detailed tracking town by town in certain cases. The plan functions. And we have to persist at it every day.”

The main components of Sheinbaum’s safety plan involve:

• Reinforcing Mexico’s national guard.
• Advancing intelligence and investigative efforts.
• Enhanced collaboration between various agencies.

Analyst Warnings and Statistical Concerns

However, public safety researchers cautioned that focusing solely on murder numbers to assess the situation of pacification was misleading. This is particularly true given the rise in different crimes such as people going missing.

“That would be very good news if this were a reduction, but I think we must not just look at the murder data and conclude: ‘Oh well, excellent,’” commented Cecilia Farfán-Méndez, an authority on Mexico's organised crime. “I would be cautiously hopeful.”

As reported by the public policy research organization Mexico Evalúa, homicides overall fell by more than 20% in the initial 10 months of the current year versus the identical period the previous year. But, disappearances have increased by 15% and in some states have increased by up to 200%.

“Statistics on murders is not reliable for estimating the situation of public insecurity,” stated Armando Vargas, a security expert at Mexico Evalúa. “Firstly, we have law enforcement and investigators who lack the resources or the desire to properly recognize and classify corpses. Secondly, organised [criminals] … have the ability to conceal violent acts through disappearances.”

Vargas added that using month-to-month averages of everyday killings was additionally problematic because it might hide periods when there were notably high levels of murders.

“Using the per-day mean renders high peaks of violent crime unseen,” he said.

Detentions and Confiscations as Metrics of Progress

Where the administration can point to the effectiveness of its safety strategy is on arrests and seizures. Close to 40,000 individuals were arrested between last October and November 2025 for serious crimes, according to government data. More than 20,000 guns were confiscated and 311 tonnes of drugs intercepted.

“Donald Trump cannot claim President Sheinbaum of inaction, because in reality she is doing a lot with these many thousands of arrests, thousands of seizures, and all the tactical degrading of organised crime. It’s extremely politically advantageous,” said Vargas.

Persistent Violence and Societal Anger

Yet notwithstanding these efforts, Mexico remains beset by high violence, with multiple regions in the midst of cartel-driven bloodshed. Recently there was a high-profile murder of a well-liked mayor in the state of Michoacan, among 10 local leaders killed in the past year.

A short time later, thousands of young people protested in Mexico City and across the nation to voice their anger at graft and drug violence.

“The administration shares [data] in a manner to create a narrative of improvement. From a political standpoint it’s extremely successful, from a social perspective it’s very questionable,” the analyst remarked.